{
 "what": "Janela's calibrated forecast band per open-sea site and 12 h lead bin: exact conformal intervals (miss-rate 1/10) of observed/forecast Hs and of observed - forecast 10 m wind speed (m/s), from the back-archive pairs (NOAA GFS-Wave (WAVEWATCH III) vs NOAA RADS NRT altimetry). The band for a forecast f is [f*lo, f*hi]; for a forecast wind (u, v), [s_lo + lo, s_hi + hi] with [s_lo, s_hi] the enclosure of sqrt(u^2+v^2), floored at 0.",
 "theorem": "IF the next ratio is exchangeable with the calibration ratios of its site and lead bin, THEN P(lo <= next <= hi) = (u - l)/(n + 1) exactly (>= with ties) — instruments/forecast/conformal.js",
 "hypothesis": "exchangeability within a site and a 12 h lead bin, over 2023-07..2026-10 and all seasons; graded going forward by the ledger (exact binomial admission)",
 "provider": "noaa",
 "borrow": {
  "babitonga": "floripa",
  "sao-sebastiao": "santos",
  "ilha-grande": "santos",
  "sepetiba": "santos"
 },
 "source": {
  "matchups": "corpus/janela/matchups-noaa.json.gz",
  "sha256": "abbdde5c248fdcd5cad3aa211d1ebe2dfd84e7d621073bcc74792f3aacd2e178",
  "rows": 53538
 },
 "miss": "1/10",
 "binHours": 12,
 "sites": {
  "santos": {
   "bins": {
    "0": {
     "from": 0,
     "to": 12,
     "hs": {
      "n": 497,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "1152280/1278219",
      "hi": "8771250/6795737",
      "loDec": "0.901",
      "hiDec": "1.290",
      "l": 24,
      "u": 474,
      "coverage": "450/498"
     },
     "windDiff": {
      "n": 497,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "-948539587512290367253/522547200000000000000",
      "hi": "1580343259134118093/539136000000000000",
      "loDec": "-1.815",
      "hiDec": "2.931",
      "l": 24,
      "u": 474,
      "coverage": "450/498",
      "unit": "m/s, observed - forecast speed"
     }
    },
    "12": {
     "from": 12,
     "to": 132,
     "hs": {
      "n": 405,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "443088/497357",
      "hi": "1119424000/863903373",
      "loDec": "0.890",
      "hiDec": "1.295",
      "l": 19,
      "u": 387,
      "coverage": "368/406"
     },
     "windDiff": {
      "n": 405,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "-655534301665096448448959/316800000000000000000000",
      "hi": "127651215345178250287/42301440000000000000",
      "loDec": "-2.069",
      "hiDec": "3.017",
      "l": 19,
      "u": 387,
      "coverage": "368/406",
      "unit": "m/s, observed - forecast speed"
     }
    },
    "24": {
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     "to": 252,
     "hs": {
      "n": 496,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "503037/565232",
      "hi": "148935375/114935149",
      "loDec": "0.889",
      "hiDec": "1.295",
      "l": 24,
      "u": 473,
      "coverage": "449/497"
     },
     "windDiff": {
      "n": 496,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "-124069447809098285251379/57600000000000000000000",
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      "loDec": "-2.153",
      "hiDec": "3.149",
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      "coverage": "449/497",
      "unit": "m/s, observed - forecast speed"
     }
    },
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     "hs": {
      "n": 405,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "203135/236401",
      "hi": "540256/407379",
      "loDec": "0.859",
      "hiDec": "1.326",
      "l": 19,
      "u": 387,
      "coverage": "368/406"
     },
     "windDiff": {
      "n": 405,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "-183898319981988497/73872000000000000",
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      "loDec": "-2.489",
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     }
    },
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "116378000/136734587",
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      "coverage": "449/497"
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "-673257659294627533745609/250560000000000000000000",
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     }
    },
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      "n": 405,
      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
      "lo": "15770160/19233293",
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      "coverage": "368/406"
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
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     }
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
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      "coverage": "448/496"
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
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   }
  },
  "campos": {
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      "coverage": "425/471",
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      "verdict": "CERTIFIED-COVERAGE",
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  }
 }
}